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                                                                                                                                                                          现金牛牛官网注册:装置检修利好刺激 PTA有望继续震荡偏强

                                                                                                                                                                            根据生意社价格监测显示,本周国内PTA现货市场先跌后涨态势,截至4月12日市场现货均价在6711元/吨,较周初下跌0.18%,同比上涨20.64%。

                                                                                                                                                                            PTA装置变化是影响本周价格走势的主要原因,周初恒力石化PTA装置提前重启导致市场对供应端收紧预期减弱,价格出现回落。但随着福海创、宁波台化、上海金山石化5月份计划检修消息传出,提振市场出现反弹。

                                                                                                                                                                          生产企业涉及产能(万吨/年)停车时间嘉兴石化2204月8日检修20天洛阳石化32.54月26日起停车检修天津石化344月10日停检修8天恒力石化2204月15日停车,待定福化工贸4505月11日停车检修15天上海石化405月年检宁波台化1205月13日停车检修18天

                                                                                                                                                                            近期化工厂事故不断,或将影响国内PX进口量,且二季度国内外装置检修集中,PX供需进一步偏紧预期。恒力石化PX装置投产以及中化弘润石化新装置初步计划5月试车、7月投产,持续上涨的动力稍显不足。

                                                                                                                                                                          生产企业涉及产能(万吨/年)停车时间印度信赖204.5二季度韩国现代804—5月检修30—35天辽阳石化455—6月检修台湾台化28.74月中下旬计划停车检修45天乌石化1005月4日例行停车检修2个月福海创805月停车检修15天

                                                                                                                                                                            下游涤纶市场受成本支撑影响,周初上涨50-100元/吨,后半周开始略显疲软,市场交投气氛清淡,以贸易商买盘为主,涤纶长丝市场产销降至50%附近,江浙一带主流工厂价格基本报平,其中涤纶POY(150D/48F)报8900-9400元/吨,涤纶FDY(150D/96F)报9500-9660元/吨,涤纶DTY(150D/48F低弹)报10310-10710元/吨。

                                                                                                                                                                            生意社分析师夏婷认为,美国成品油库存大幅下降有望继续支撑油价,PX市场则谨慎追高为主,PTA装置4-5月份集中检修,供应端利好提振市场心态。后续仍需关注需求面、供应面存在不确定因素以及PX新装置投产进度,预计短期内PTA震荡偏强调整为主。